Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 63.638568 72.164295 80.895761 90.473047 100.650445 111.112624 122.650502
2025-11-30 51.526378 63.845753 77.041993 92.091083 108.648762 126.194811 146.081311
2025-12-07 44.377557 58.823940 74.818676 93.559456 114.658603 137.452042 163.720972
2025-12-14 37.504297 53.180925 71.104500 92.639096 117.386741 144.570961 176.344199
2025-12-21 31.458866 47.793676 67.075973 90.802473 118.587906 149.566242 186.221146
2025-12-28 29.132338 46.628916 67.774975 94.239313 125.636492 160.994369 203.172736
2026-01-04 26.398341 44.653459 67.261511 96.040439 130.621264 169.941900 217.210472
2026-01-11 22.985141 41.465204 64.995850 95.513281 132.686805 175.386557 227.129317
2026-01-18 20.025469 38.599542 62.916526 95.027214 134.647370 180.586528 236.662208
2026-01-25 17.817606 36.566170 61.748937 95.541040 137.704893 186.987877 247.517478
2026-02-01 15.413663 34.011193 59.721953 94.829669 139.158875 191.410166 255.996158
2026-02-08 13.535625 32.051974 58.358458 94.856461 141.433046 196.740818 265.485357
2026-02-15 11.484608 29.628027 56.245035 93.846827 142.400142 200.522670 273.200358
2026-02-22 10.331243 28.542886 55.932826 95.153345 146.236007 207.744768 284.987991
2026-03-01 9.365854 27.666976 55.850010 96.713190 150.354160 215.283213 297.134611
2026-03-08 7.860303 25.642766 53.971765 95.763706 151.211875 218.803318 304.446996
2026-03-15 6.327715 23.324364 51.504116 93.894897 150.801739 220.704049 309.762725
2026-03-22 6.107523 23.563387 52.924684 97.395459 157.336268 231.157533 325.383742
2026-03-29 5.565040 23.068200 53.168611 99.229856 161.689154 238.909316 337.743595
2026-04-05 4.629803 21.581696 51.769045 98.692998 162.899235 242.735300 345.330676
2026-04-12 3.813960 20.197046 50.443567 98.197981 164.118530 246.540307 352.868144
2026-04-19 3.250584 19.299006 49.855091 98.721269 166.658846 251.979191 362.384792
2026-04-26 2.582487 17.960744 48.447111 97.996791 167.495191 255.250371 369.232109